Danubio 0-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
-1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
27.03.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
05.10.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
31.03.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
14.03.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URUK
07.12.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-2 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-0
AWAY Defensor Sporting
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Defensor Sporting played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Danubio had 57% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 43%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Defensor Sporting?

Danubio 0-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Danubio 42%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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