Danubio vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Danubio vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Danubio
URU
2-1
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Danubio
CON CSA
Danubio 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Danubio and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Danubio had 43% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 57%, shots finished 7-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of Danubio vs Defensor Sporting?
Danubio 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 30%, draw 30%, Defensor Sporting 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.