Cerro 0-1 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.12/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.00
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
31.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
01.10.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
15.08.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 4-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
20.04.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-1
AWAY Miramar Misiones
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones squeezed past Cerro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Miramar Misiones found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 43% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 57%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cerro and 1.40 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Miramar Misiones?

Cerro 0-1 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 36%, draw 32%, Miramar Misiones 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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