Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Racing Club Montevideo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo and Progreso traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
This one beat our numbers. Racing Club Montevideo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Racing Club Montevideo's favour, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Racing Club Montevideo against 1.17 for Progreso.
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 55%, draw 27%, Progreso 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.