Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Racing Club Montevideo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 54% of the ball to Progreso's 46%, shots finished 10-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 55%, draw 23%, Progreso 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.