Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 3-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo cruised past Progreso 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 49% of the ball to Progreso's 51%, shots finished 17-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.67 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Racing Club Montevideo 3-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 42%, draw 28%, Progreso 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.