CA Penarol 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.59/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.02
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
15.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
08.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
12.05.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.12.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol saw off Montevideo Wanderers 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 47% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

CA Penarol 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 49%, draw 24%, Montevideo Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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