CA River Plate 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.74
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
04.10.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
30.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.12.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.05.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
13.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
2-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate nicked a narrow win over Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 49% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 51%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 0.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

CA River Plate 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 28%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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