Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -19%
1.11/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
-18% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Progreso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
30.03.2025 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
21.09.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
07.07.2024 Progreso Progreso 3-2 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
10.03.2024 Progreso Progreso 4-3 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.08.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-0
AWAY Progreso
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Progreso fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 67% of the ball to Progreso's 33%, shots finished 9-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.33 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 45%, draw 27%, Progreso 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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