Plaza Colonia 1-1 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 28%
-21% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
0.89/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.18
-34% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
29.03.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
26.08.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
11.02.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.08.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
16.07.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
1-1
AWAY CA River Plate
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia and CA River Plate shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Plaza Colonia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 50% of the ball to CA River Plate's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate?

Plaza Colonia 1-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 43%, draw 26%, CA River Plate 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Plaza Colonia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plaza Colonia) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
29 Sep 2025
00:00 Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Analysis →
03:00 Miramar Misiones vs Defensor Sporting Analysis →