Boston River vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boston River v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Boston River vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 2-0
Boston River
URU
Boston River 2-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Boston River squeezed past CA Penarol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Boston River had 44% of the ball to CA Penarol's 56%, shots finished 8-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boston River and 1.83 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Boston River vs CA Penarol?
Boston River 2-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boston River vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boston River 28%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.