Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -11%
0.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.58
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.06.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
15.02.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.10.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
17.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) nicked a narrow win over Montevideo Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 55% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 49%, draw 24%, Montevideo Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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