Dundee United 1-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

Dundee United
1-0 HT 1-0
St. Mirren
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 33%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.44/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.13
+50% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 62%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dundee United vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
301 Passes 201
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
19.03.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.01.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
11.09.2021 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over St. Mirren 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee United and 1.50 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Dundee United 1-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 46%, draw 25%, St. Mirren 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKLK More Scotland - League Cup
18 Aug 2024
16:00 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Analysis →
17:00 Celtic vs Hibernian Analysis →