Celtic 3-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
24%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
81%
-20.3pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.3pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
1.88/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.89
-21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
522 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
45.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
29.6 Crosses 10.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hibernian
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.76 xG 1.01
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
601 Passes 203
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
47 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
06.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.10.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
18.03.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Hibernian 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celtic and 1.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Hibernian?

Celtic 3-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Celtic 61%, draw 21%, Hibernian 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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