Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-2
HT 0-2
Real Sociedad
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano squeezed past Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Sociedad had 66% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 34%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 48%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.