Real Sociedad 0-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.08
2-3 Goals
33%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
6.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
18%
3.67
X/2
6%
8.95
X/X
18%
3.58
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
8.42
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.42
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.9 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
22.04.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
21.01.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
01.05.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
22.08.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
20.01.2019 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.19 xG 0.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
298 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 52% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 48%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.19 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Sociedad 0-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 45%, draw 30%, Rayo Vallecano 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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