Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Palmas v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS1
0-3
HT 0-2
Real Madrid
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS1
3-3
HT 1-1
Las Palmas
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Real Madrid
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Real Madrid
İS1
Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid edged past Las Palmas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Las Palmas had 53% of the ball to Real Madrid's 47%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.73 to 2.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Palmas and 2.50 for Real Madrid.
What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Real Madrid?
Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 22%, draw 23%, Real Madrid 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.