Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.23
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Patronato
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.03.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu got the better of Patronato 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maipu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?

Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 46%, draw 30%, Patronato 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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