San Telmo 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.8pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.0pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
0.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.81
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.06.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
11.02.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-2 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
19.09.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
10.05.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano edged past San Telmo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Telmo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Telmo and 0.67 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?

San Telmo 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 41%, draw 33%, Defensores De Belgrano 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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