Brisbane Olympic FC 3-1 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/3.79
-20% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.1 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Brisbane City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.10 xG 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
548 Passes 341
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-4 HT 0-4 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
25.06.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
18.03.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
25.06.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
19.03.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
15.11.2020 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 3-3 HT 2-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Olympic FC got the better of Brisbane City 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brisbane Olympic FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Olympic FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brisbane Olympic FC and 1.17 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane City?

Brisbane Olympic FC 3-1 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Olympic FC 52%, draw 21%, Brisbane City 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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