Peninsula Power 3-2 Redlands United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
77%
-16.4pp
26%
Draw
14%
+11.5pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Redlands United EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.53/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.14
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 12.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Redlands United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.75 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Redlands United Redlands United 0-4 HT 0-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
26.08.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-1 HT 2-1 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
20.05.2023 Redlands United Redlands United 0-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
06.07.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 4-0 HT 4-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
13.03.2021 Redlands United Redlands United 1-3 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
26.08.2020 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-0 HT 2-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Redlands United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power edged past Redlands United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Peninsula Power and 0.33 for Redlands United.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Redlands United?

Peninsula Power 3-2 Redlands United in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Redlands United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 61%, draw 26%, Redlands United 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
18 Aug 2024
06:00 Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior Analysis →
07:30 Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles Analysis →
07:30 Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues Analysis →
07:30 Cooks Hill United vs Weston Bears Analysis →
07:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Lambton Jaffas Analysis →
07:30 New Lambton FC vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →