Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +3%
0.89/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.15
-31% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.07.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCSK
02.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
16.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-2
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Torpedo Kutaisi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 57% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 38%, draw 28%, Torpedo Kutaisi 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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