Cambuur 0-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.19
X/2
12%
9.82
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
7%
7.25
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.71/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.35
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.3 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
01.09.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
16.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 4-1 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.10.2020 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-5 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.09.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 5-1 HT 3-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
18.01.2019 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
0-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.29 xG 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
387 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over Cambuur 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cambuur had 63% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 37%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.29 to 0.67 — on chances, Cambuur could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Cambuur and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Helmond Sport?

Cambuur 0-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 50%, draw 26%, Helmond Sport 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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