Volendam 0-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.82
2-3 Goals
36%
2.04
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.92
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
17%
5.47
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
14%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.62/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.22
-5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.5 Crosses 14.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.27 xG 2.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
14.10.2022 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
14.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 4-1 HT 4-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
05.11.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
26.10.2021 Volendam Volendam 0-3 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOK
06.04.2018 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 1-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
0-1
AWAY Emmen
0.63 xG 2.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen nicked a narrow win over Volendam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Volendam at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volendam had 44% of the ball to Emmen's 56%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.63 to 2.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Emmen's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Volendam and 2.17 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Emmen?

Volendam 0-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Volendam 43%, draw 24%, Emmen 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Volendam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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