Valour vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valour v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Valour vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
HFX Wanderers
CAPL
3-0
HT 0-0
Valour
CAPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Valour
CAPL
0-0
HT 0-0
HFX Wanderers
CAPL
Valour 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Valour squeezed past HFX Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valour had 38% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 62%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.62 to 1.59 — on chances, HFX Wanderers could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valour and 1.67 for HFX Wanderers.
What was the final score of Valour vs HFX Wanderers?
Valour 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valour vs HFX Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated an HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valour 33%, draw 23%, HFX Wanderers 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.