Santos de Guapiles 0-4 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 55%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.40/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.64
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-2D-4L
AWAY San Carlos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
28.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 4-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-4 HT 0-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
09.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos ran out comfortable winners over Santos de Guapiles 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Santos de Guapiles 0-4 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 32%, draw 25%, San Carlos 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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