Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Mokawloon v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals
Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSRK
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
MSR
2-1
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-3
HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
MSR
Al Mokawloon 0-1 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah squeezed past Al Mokawloon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Mokawloon had 55% of the ball to El Gounah's 45%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.41 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.83 for El Gounah.
What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah?
Al Mokawloon 0-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 41%, draw 28%, El Gounah 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon) went the other way.