Masr 2-2 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.15/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.1 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.23 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
278 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
2-2
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Masr vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr and Ceramica Cleopatra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Masr had 54% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 46%, shots finished 3-13.

What was the final score of Masr vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Masr 2-2 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Masr 35%, draw 30%, Ceramica Cleopatra 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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