Walter Ferretti 3-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
2.15/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.82
+17% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UNAN Managua
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
11.02.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
23.10.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
21.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.01.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
3-1
AWAY UNAN Managua
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti beat UNAN Managua 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 47% of the ball to UNAN Managua's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.67 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

Walter Ferretti 3-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 44%, draw 27%, UNAN Managua 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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