Nieciecza 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.86
+32% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
27.08.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
04.03.2017 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.09.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
19.12.2015 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
22.08.2015 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 4-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Ruch Chorzow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 40% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 60%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nieciecza and 1.33 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzow?

Nieciecza 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 44%, draw 27%, Ruch Chorzow 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nieciecza), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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