Wisla Plock 1-0 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
62%
-15.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.97
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
18.01.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce HAZ
22.08.2015 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
30.11.2014 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
10.08.2014 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
1-0
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Pogon Siedlce 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 53% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 47%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Pogon Siedlce?

Wisla Plock 1-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 46%, draw 25%, Pogon Siedlce 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
18 Aug 2024
13:00 Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna Analysis →
15:30 Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzow Analysis →