Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 36%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +23%
0.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.98
-41% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
02.09.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.06.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
15.09.2019 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-3
AWAY Gornik Leczna
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna nicked a narrow win over Znicz Pruszkow 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gornik Leczna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 51% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 1.25 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 33%, draw 27%, Gornik Leczna 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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