Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.1
Over 2.5
39%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.1pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.13/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.34
-16% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
12.0 Crosses 16.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1-2
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
0.89 xG 0.77
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
306 Passes 114
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 15
42 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima nicked a narrow win over Nakhon Pathom 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nakhon Pathom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 65% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Nakhon Pathom 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 42%, draw 29%, Nakhon Ratchasima 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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