Muang Thong United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 30%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.25
+119% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 81%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
13.9 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.97 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
297 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
04.04.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-1 HT 2-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
30.10.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-5 HT 0-2 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
1-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.67 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
265 Passes 194
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United nicked a narrow win over Lamphun Warrior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 57% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.67 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Muang Thong United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 51%, draw 26%, Lamphun Warrior 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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