Buriram United 4-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

Buriram United
4-2 HT 1-1
Bangkok United
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Buriram United vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
37%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.68
No
60%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
22%
+14.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.1pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buriram United v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.25
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
22.1 Crosses 8.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.7

Buriram United vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.85 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 3-2 HT 1-2 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
04.04.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 4-3 HT 1-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
30.10.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
23.01.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
25.09.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY

Buriram United 4-2 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
4-2
AWAY Bangkok United
1.04 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
387 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United beat Bangkok United 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Buriram United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 52% of the ball to Bangkok United's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.04 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Buriram United and 1.60 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Bangkok United?

Buriram United 4-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 41%, draw 22%, Bangkok United 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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