Boston River 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.54
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
08.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
26.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
24.09.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.04.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
04.12.2021 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Maldonado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Boston River made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Boston River had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 47%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Boston River and 1.17 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Boston River 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boston River 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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