Danubio 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.10/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.08
-10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
25.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
23.04.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
08.10.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
15.05.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
18.02.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-0
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio nicked a narrow win over Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Danubio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Danubio had 54% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 46%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Danubio 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Danubio 36%, draw 30%, Centro Atletico Fenix 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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