San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 San Diego — Actual Match Statistics
San Diego nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 39% — and on the day San Diego made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 44% of the ball to San Diego's 56%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 41%, draw 19%, San Diego 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.