Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.36
X/2
9%
9.63
X/X
12%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
2/2
11%
7.12
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.58
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.1 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 482
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.07.2025 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
19.09.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
21.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-4 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.09.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
01.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 6-2 HT 2-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
06.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
472 Passes 417
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 52% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 2.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 49%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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