Houston Dynamo 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
12%
8.51
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.94
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.37
-17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.5 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.74 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
477 Passes 335
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-4 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.09.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
01.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 6-2 HT 2-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
06.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
13.03.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
30.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.33 xG 1.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
595 Passes 256
93% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 68% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 32%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 2.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Houston Dynamo 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 47%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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