Vancouver Whitecaps 3-4 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.88
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.92
X/2
11%
6.87
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
14%
4.6
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.94/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.9 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 431
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
01.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 6-2 HT 2-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
06.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
13.03.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
30.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
21.07.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3-4
AWAY Houston Dynamo
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
297 Passes 558
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 37% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 63%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.50 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-4 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 42%, draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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