New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 2-0
Nashville SC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Nashville SC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day New York City FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, New York City FC had 56% of the ball to Nashville SC's 44%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.38 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York City FC and 1.17 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 38%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.