Nashville SC vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 2-0
Nashville SC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
3-1
HT 2-0
New York City FC
ABD
Nashville SC 2-2 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC and New York City FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 51% of the ball to New York City FC's 49%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.50 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 1.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
Nashville SC 2-2 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 50%, draw 24%, New York City FC 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.