St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
St. Louis City
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
St. Louis City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City edged past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, St. Louis City had 47% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.74 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for St. Louis City and 0.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 44%, draw 27%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.