Houston Dynamo 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.69
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.77
X/2
7%
7.66
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
18%
5.58
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.60/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.8 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.51 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
495 Passes 335
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
21.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-4 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.09.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
01.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 6-2 HT 2-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
06.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
13.03.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
0-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.82 xG 1.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
419 Passes 271
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps ran out comfortable winners over Houston Dynamo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 59% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 41%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.82 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 2.33 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Houston Dynamo 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 44%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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