Schweinfurt 2-4 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.98
1/2
6%
20.45
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
9%
12.55
X/2
21%
4.02
X/X
10%
6.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.77
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 67%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.08/2.07
+71% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -43%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 519 · 84%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.0 Crosses 19.5
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schweinfurt
2-4
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.08 xG 3.46
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
246 Passes 456
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf got the better of Schweinfurt 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Schweinfurt had 37% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 63%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 1.08 to 3.46.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Schweinfurt 2-4 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - DFB Cup on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 23%, draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 56%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFK More Germany - DFB Cup
18 Aug 2025
19:00 Preussen Münster vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
19:00 Dynamo Dresden vs Mainz 05 Analysis →
21:45 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →