Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.32/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.36
+25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ural
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.57 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS1
05.10.2024 Ural Ural 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.03.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
28.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
11.09.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
23.05.2015 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-0
AWAY Ural
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow squeezed past Ural 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ural at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 30% of the ball to Ural's 70%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.17 for Ural.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Ural?

Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 31%, draw 28%, Ural 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ural) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →