IR Reykjavik 1-4 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.24/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.83
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +112%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Keflavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
03.05.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 1-2 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IR Reykjavik
1-4
AWAY Keflavik
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik cruised past IR Reykjavik 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IR Reykjavik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, IR Reykjavik had 60% of the ball to Keflavik's 40%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.00 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

IR Reykjavik 1-4 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 45%, draw 25%, Keflavik 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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