Hacken (K) 1-0 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away Pick
66%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.18
Over
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
17%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
66%
Away Win
73%
-6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.09/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 7.32/1.21
+48% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +37%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
197 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 85%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 55.0
9.7 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken (K)
1-0
AWAY Arsenal (K)
1.22 xG 1.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
251 Passes 585
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 48
0 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hacken (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken (K) squeezed past Arsenal (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal (K) carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hacken (K) had 32% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 68%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 1.22 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Hacken (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Hacken (K) 1-0 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hacken (K) 15%, draw 19%, Arsenal (K) 66%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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