Juventus (K) 3-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
37%
4-5
27%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.59/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.26
-23% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
6.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
3-1
AWAY PSG (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) saw off PSG (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSG (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 67% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 33%.

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs PSG (K)?

Juventus (K) 3-1 PSG (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 22%, draw 31%, PSG (K) 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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