Roma (K) 3-1 Chênois GE (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
3.17
Over Pick
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.13
No
44%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
33%
4-5
35%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.0pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.8pp
44%
BTTS No
57%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Chênois GE (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.36/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.72
+3% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.5 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3-1
AWAY Chênois GE (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Chênois GE (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) got the better of Chênois GE (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 47% of the ball to Chênois GE (K)'s 53%, shots finished 22-7.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Chênois GE (K)?

Roma (K) 3-1 Chênois GE (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Chênois GE (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 63%, draw 17%, Chênois GE (K) 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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